Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut -11.5 | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
U Conn Huskies. Game 674. 5:45 PM PST/8:45 PM EST. I know this is a ton of points, my friends. But you just can't dismiss what the Huskies have done again this season. Getting to the Big Dance and then plowing down all comers like Connecticut did a season to go to become National Champions is a remarkable feat. But to get back to the Final Four the following year is so tough, with so much pressure. I have to tell you I feel this team is destined to win back-to-back titles. I know the Alabama Crimson Tide a good team. However, let's face it, when they take to the road they leave a little bit of luster. Granted, Alabama's offense tops college basketball, averaging over 90.8 points per game. But going up against one of the most frustrating, and most ferocious defenses like that of the Huskies, which allows a mere, 64.0 points per game on 39.8% shooting from the floor, is going to be fatal to this team. Understand Connecticut are also monsters at both ends of the court on the boards and will take away a lot of second chance opportunities for Alabama, while creating opportunities for themselves offensively. I know this is a lot of points. But this is one of the best college basketball teams we've seen come around in a long time. They will dominate this game from start to finish. Lay the points. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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03-31-24 | Tennessee v. Purdue -3.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
Purdue Boilermakers. BIG DANCE GOY. Game 656. 11:20 AM PST/2;20 PM EST. Both Tennessee and Purdue deserve to be here. However, make no mistake of it, the Volunteers are not in the same class as the Boilermakers. Purdue enters this matchup knowing that they took down Tennessee in a late-November matchup, at home 71-67. Since November, the Boilermakers have improved significantly. Don't get me wrong, the Volunteers are a damn good team. But when you have arguably the best college basketball player in the country as you're starting center, it's certainly going to give you a very large advantage. Zach Edey is one of the best college basketball players I have ever seen. He's an absolute monster. Forget about stopping him. Even if you tried to slow him down, the rest of the starters for Purdue are some of the most unselfish players in the country. On any given day any one of them can step up and take a game on his shoulders. Tennessee is accustomed to playing opponents that can score as much as them. Purdue can do just that my friends. And to make matters worse, they have a very good defense, are second in the nation in shooting from downtown, and on both ends of the court, possess a top-10 rebounding core. This game will get out of hand. Take the Boilermakers. Thank you. |
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03-30-24 | Clemson +3.5 v. Alabama | 82-89 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. OM play. Game 653. 5:45 PM PST/8:45 PM EST. In all sincerity, I think this line should be closer to a pick ‘em. However, the whole world would then bet Alabama because as we know the general public loves to bet those favorites. Clemson enters this match up running red-hot, winning and covering three in a row over the lights of New Mexico, Baylor, and Arizona. If there was going to be a letdown for this team, it would have come after the first or even the second Tourney game. But this team has their foot on the gas and they're playing excellent basketball right now. Granted, Alabama has won and covered their last three as well. But in all honesty, College of Charleston and Grand Canyon are not in the same class as Clemson. When they did step up and play a formidable opponent in North Carolina in their last outing, they were lucky to get away with a two-point win. Please understand that these two teams played earlier this season back at the end of November in Alabama, when Clemson prevailed, 85-77. Please understand that this team is an excellent team, the Tigers are. In their first matchup back a few months ago, they really outhustled Alabama. They shot better from the floor, better from downtown, and owned the boards. I don't see why this game isn't going to come out the same way. I look for a very competitive matchup here tonight. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois v. Connecticut -8.5 | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
Connecticut. Game 652. 3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST. With all respect to the Illinois Fighting Illini, I really think there are in over their heads here in this matchup. They are a very good team, don't get me wrong. I mean they are riding a seven-game straight up win streak, in which they covered six of those seven outings. But facing the likes of Morehead State, Duquesne, and Iowa State, are a big difference than facing an opponent like Connecticut. The Huskies are a monster team. They are 34-3 overall this season. Now I know that this game is being played in Boston, Massachusetts. However, this is going to be a very friendly, predominantly Huskies crowd there. I know it's not a true home game…of course it isn't. But this team is going to look in the stands and see a lot of their jerseys in the crowd and get a lot of support there. This is like a home game for this team, trust me when I tell you, my friends. And we all know they were 16-0 at home this season. I just don't see Illinois contending with Connecticut and they are very pesky defense. The Huskies rank 13th in the nation in points allowed, yielding a mere 64.0 points per game. They also yield just 39.8% shooting from the field. And to make things even tougher on their opponent tonight, they rank second in college basketball on the defensive boards. I just think they are a team that is on a mission to show everyone they can and will repeat as the National Champion. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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03-28-24 | Alabama v. North Carolina -4.5 | Top | 89-87 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 11 m | Show |
North Carolina Tar Heels. SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 636. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Whether you are a novice or an expert in college basketball, you are familiar with the history of the Tar Heels. North Carolina is one of the most successful teams in the history of college basketball. Hubert Davis is the head coach of UNC. In his three seasons at the helm, it's been a hell of a ride. Going back even further, his career has been very impressive. He went to North Carolina, winning a national championship, and even averaging over 21.4 points per game in his senior season. He was a first-round draft pick to the New York Knicks, played on six teams in the NBA. He became an assistant coach of the Tar Heels back in 2012, and a few years ago named the head coach. In his first season at the helm, Davis team reached the National Championship game. Oddly enough last season, the team missed the Tournament altogether. Now this season, they come in as a number one seed in the West Region. I believe it was last year's absence that really lit a fire under this team and motivated them to win. They know they cannot take their opponent here lightly. Alabama is a heck of a team. They finished fifth in the SEC, and own an overall record of 23-11. They are a very good team. But I think we could all agree that when they travel away from the confines of their own home court, they lose a little bit of luster. They are just 5-5 away from home straight up this season. And just 4-4 SU on neutral sites. While, their offense is explosive, their defense is getting shredded for over 80.4 points per game. They're playing against a team which is as complete and well-balanced as any team in the country. The Tar Heels possess height, muscle, speed, strength, depth, and intelligence. Take North Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-24-24 | Yale +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-85 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
Yale Bulldogs. Vegas Insider move. Game 837. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. You can't argue San Diego State followed up last seasons, strong performance with another strong performance this season. However, I still think they're getting some leftover credit from going so far in the Big Dance a year ago. I don't think they warrant being this much of a favorite over anyone. Let's face it, they've only covered two of their last nine outings. Meanwhile, Yale comes in here winning six of their last seven, straight up, covering five of those seven. They come off a very big win as a 14-point underdog against Auburn just two days ago. Many people out there would think this team is in a letdown situation here now. I'm here to tell you they are not. This is a solid squad. They have a frustrating defense, are solid at both end of the court on the boards, possess height and muscle. I just think this is way too many points to give a game ivy league team. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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03-24-24 | James Madison +7.5 v. Duke | 55-93 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
James Madison Dukes. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 827. 2:15 PM PST 5:15 PM EST. Maybe it's not so much a mistake made by the oddsmakers as it is perhaps the oddsmakers anticipating a large Duke following here today. And I get it. This is one of the most acclaimed college basketball teams in the history of the sport. They finished second this regular season in the ACC, one of the strongest conferences in the nation. They enter this matchup off a commanding win and cover over Vermont. They have an experience coach and a lot of seasoned players on the roster. However, this is not the same Blue Devils team we are used to seeing. And the fact that there is no pressure on their opponent tonight tells me that the underdog is a very dangerous play. James Madison is a good team. Overall, they are 32-3 this season. Yes, I am aware the Duke’s don't face the toughest opposition throughout the season. However, they did go up against the Spartans in their season opener, back in the beginning of November and beat them, 79-76 in overtime as a 16.5-point underdog. The victory started their campaign off with a string of 14 games without a loss. This team can score, they're extremely accurate overall from the field (and from downtown), and they are monsters at both ends of the court on the boards. I think the line is a little off here. Take James Madison. Thank you. |
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03-24-24 | Colorado +4 v. Marquette | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Early Winner. Game 829. 9:10 AM PST/12:10 PM EST. As of posting this play, I see more money coming in on Marquette here. And why not? It makes sense to me as well. This is a team that finished in third place in the very physical, Big East Conference. However, Colorado also finished in third place in the Pac -12 and can play physical basketball. The Buffaloes are playing some very solid basketball right now. As a matter of fact, they enter this matchup going 10-1 straight up their last 11 outings. This postseason they are 4-1, both straight up and against the spread. And I feel giving this team points is a mistake here. Colorado possesses an explosive offense, scoring over 80.6 points per game and hitting 50% from the field. They're also sharpshooters from downtown, hitting 40% beyond the arc. That would be enough for me to take notice of this team in this matchup. However, they're also monsters at both ends of the court on the boards. I do feel the difference in this match is going to be in two areas; the first area is going to be the disparity between the Buffaloes three-point shooting offense, and the Golden Eagles less than stellar, three-point shooting defense. The second contrast is definitely from the free-throw line. This game should get physical. And the Buffaloes hit 77.7% from the line, while the Golden Eagles hit a 70.8%. Those two factors are going to be the difference here and keep this game a lot closer than the points. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -3.5 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
North Carolina Tar Heels. RD 2 GOY. Game 790. 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST. Make no mistake of it, this may be Rd 2 of the Big Dance, but both Michigan State and North Carolina are concentrating on this matchup. You won’t see any look-ahead mistakes here. These two teams know each other well, and trust me when I tell you, dislike each other quite a bit. Having said that, the Spartans aren't the same team, we have grown to know over the last several decades (lol). This is a team, yes, I will admit, that has reached the 20-game milestone (20-14). But this team is not beating anyone with authority, nor are they competing too well against some of the nation’s better opponents. Throw into the mix they are just, 3-7 on the road this season. And you've got to worry about them for sure here today. With all respect, the Tar Heels are basically playing a home game. They are in their home state of North Carolina as this game is being played in Charlotte. This is going to be a very friendly crowd for UNC, and a very angry crowd towards the visitor. North Carolina has proven that they have the talent and the depth not just to win, but to win big against solid opposition when it counts. Take the Tar Heels. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke -12 | Top | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Duke Blue Devils. Crusher play. Game 760. 4:10 PM, PST/7:10 PM EST. Facing Duke in Tournament play following the Blue Devils back-to-back defeats to end their regular season/conference tournament campaign, is going to prove to be fatal for Vermont. Yes, the Catamounts finished first in the American East. However, this is a team, which really doesn't step up out of their comfort zone very often. As a matter of fact, the only time this season they stepped up and out, would be in mid-December on the road at Virginia Tech when they got crushed, 73-51. Duke has no problems putting the hurt on opponents. As a matter fact, you can even say that they take enjoyment in it. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace with them on the scoreboard here. The Blue Devils average over 80.2 points per game, hit over 48% from the field, 38% from downtown… all this and they are great on the boards as well. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Texas A&M +1.5 v. Nebraska | 98-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Texas A&M Aggies Top Tier play. Game 779. 3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST. A mistake commonly made this time of year in college basketball by the gamblers is judging two teams that are matched up in the tournament from different conferences and different seeding. In other words, a lot of the general public is going to come in on Nebraska here because they are the third-ranked team in the Big Ten as opposed to Texas A&M, which happen to be the seventh team in the SEC. I'm here to tell you the Aggies are playing some great basketball at the right time. Following a five-game, straight up and against the spread hot streak, they come off an ugly five-point loss on the road at the hands of Florida and their last contest. I look for this team to come out here, bounce back and earn a little redemption for themselves. They are monsters at both ends of the court on the boards, and to be honest with you, if you're worried about them being a lower seed coming from another conference, don't be. Nebraska had a very difficult time in two matchups with Ohio State this season, winning one and losing one. However, Texas A&M played this team very early in the season and crushed them. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. Oddsmakers Mistake play. Game 769. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Guys, there's no doubt in my mind Colorado shouldn't be a slight favor here. But that's OK. We'll take advantage of the mistake made by the oddsmakers. The Buffaloes enter today's matchup, running red-hot, winning nine of their last 10 straight up, and covering seven of those 10 against the spread. This is a team that's playing some of the best basketball right now. Meanwhile, Florida, is playing some pretty good ball themselves. However, they have been a bit more inconsistent, going just 6-4 straight up their last 10 outings, while only covering four of those 10 outings. To be quite honest, I see Colorado stampeding Florida here. They own an explosive offense, averaging over 80.6 points per game, hit just shy of 50% from the floor, 40% from downtown, nearly 78% from the free-throw line, and are monsters at both end of the court on the boards. Take the Buffaloes. Thank you. |
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03-22-24 | Yale v. Auburn -13.5 | 78-76 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
Auburn Tigers. HR play. Game 782. 1:15 PM PST/4:10 PM EST. If you're worried about the point spread in this matchup, don't be. There is no basketball court on this planet that Auburn shouldn't be able to cover this amount of points against Yale. These two teams last met in December of 2021 when the Tigers prevailed over the Bulldogs, 86-64. Auburn enters this contest running red-hot, riding a six-game straight up win streak. This is a team that enjoys feasting on lesser opponents. Yale is a decent team, no doubt about that. But they did take beatings at the hands of teams like Gonzaga and Kansas this season. As a matter of fact, they lost both of those contests by 15 points each. They just don't have the personnel to compete here on either side of the court with this huge step up in class. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-21-24 | St. Peter's v. Tennessee -21.5 | 49-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Crusher Play. Game 728. 6:20 PM PST/9:20 PM EST Saint Peter’s might be a decent team in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. But going against one of the best teams in SEC, is going to prove to be fatal for them. The Volunteers are looking pretty darn strong, especially after a seven game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, back-to-back losses to end the regular season. Look for the Volunteers to bounce back with a vengeance here, and make an example out of an inferior and outclassed opponent. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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03-21-24 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Texas | Top | 44-56 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
Colorado State Rams Tournament Round 1 Best Bet. Game 731. 3:50 PM PST/6:50 PM EST. Guys, giving Colorado State points in a matchup like this I feel as a real mistake. I know there are just the seventh seed in the Mountain West, while Texas is the eighth seed in the Big 12. However, the Rams are surging. They have won five of their last six straight up, and they are playing their best basketball of the campaign so far. Texas has dropped five of their last 10 outings, straight up, and have only covered four of those 10. When asked to step up out of their comfort zone and out of conference play, this team meets all challenges. This is way too many points to give a very talented, very game Colorado State team. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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03-21-24 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -20 | 65-85 | Push | 0 | 1 h 14 m | Show | |
Arizona Wildcats. High Roller. Game 756. 11:00 AM PST/2:00 PM EST. My friends, there is no alternative universe which would make me think Long Beach State has a chance in hell in this matchup. The Wildcats are one of the best teams in the country and have been since the opening day of the campaign. And getting them coming off a loss at the hands of Oregon six days ago is going to further motivate this team to win big here. Long Beach State just does not possess the same level of talent or faces the same level of competition as their opponent. When they did step up in class, they did OK against the likes of Michigan. However, I think we all agree that Michigan is not Arizona. I just don't see this team competing at either end of the court with the Wildcats. Take ‘Zona. Thank you. |
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03-19-24 | South Florida +6 v. UCF | 83-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
South Florida Bulls. NIT Opening Round Best Bet. Game 685. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. South Florida is no stranger Central Florida. It was only up until a season ago these two teams saw each other every year. As a matter fact, last January and February, the Bulls won and covered both meetings against the Knights. Now they are in different conferences. And guess what? South Florida took first place in the AAC, with an overall record of 23-6, while Central Florida possessed the 12th spot in the Big 12 at 16-14. While the Knights certainly own solid defense, they are offensive leaves a lot to be desired and I think will be a bit outclassed here in this matchup. This is way too many points to give a very game very talented Bulls team. Takes South Florida. Thank you. |
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03-16-24 | St Bonaventure v. Duquesne | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
Duquesne Dukes on the moneyline. Oddsmakers Mistake play. Game 608. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Duquesne has taken both meetings with St. Bonaventure this season, winning and covering each matchup. They enter tonight's contest red-hot, winning six in a row and eight of their last nine straight up, while covering seven of those nine. The Dukes possess the more experienced, better-coached, and overall, stronger roster. Take Duquesne. Thank you. |
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03-16-24 | UAB +2.5 v. South Florida | 93-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
UAB Blazers. AAC CRUSHER. Game 617. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. UAB is a darn good squad. They took down South Florida in the only meeting this season, back in the first week of January at home, 75-71. That victory gave the Blazers their third consecutive win over the Bulls. They come into this contest winning seven of their last 10, both straight up and against the spread, which includes in the last three both SU/ATS. Yes, South Florida is a strong team. No doubt about that. But UAB is just as explosive offensively, scoring 77.3 points per game. And are far superior at both ends of the court on the boards. The Blazers will do what they did in the last matchup with the Bulls, and dominate the glass, while overwhelming them at the line. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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03-15-24 | Florida +4.5 v. Alabama | Top | 102-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Florida Gators. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 825. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Guys, in all sincerity, I think this line should be closer to Pick ‘em. The oddsmakers are being very generous in making Alabama this much of a favorite. I know how good of a team they are. Not looking to ruffle any feathers here. But this team loses a little something when they travel. That's for sure. I mean they're just 3-7 away from home this season. When it comes to neutral site games, I believe they are a dismal 1-4 straight up on neutral site games this season. The Gators can keep pace offensively with the Crimson Tide, for sure. Plus, they are monsters on both end of the court on the glass. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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03-15-24 | NC State +2.5 v. Virginia | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
NC State Wolfpack. ACC Annihilator. Game 849. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. Well, NC State certainly plays very competitively in this rivalry. They have taken four of the last seven meetings straight up. They have covered both games this season. They match up pretty well here. Take the points with the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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03-14-24 | St. John's v. Seton Hall +4 | 91-72 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 14 m | Show | |
Seton Hall Pirates. Game 746. 11:30 AM PST/2:30 PM EST. Granted, Rick Pitino read his team the riot act after their last defeat. St. John’s squandered a 19-point lead against visiting, Seton Hall and lost for the eighth time in 10 games back on February 18. This team has since rattled off five consecutive straight up victories since. However, let's not overthink this too much my friends. The Pirates are a damn good team, are playing in the confines of Madison Square Garden, in which they will have a very friendly crowd, and they have the confidence of knowing that they've won and covered the last four meetings in this conference rivalry, which does include both meetings this season. Giving this team this many points is a mistake. Take the Pirates. Thank you. |
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03-12-24 | Gonzaga -3.5 v. St. Mary's | 60-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
Gonzaga Bulldogs. Game 633. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. I am well aware that these are the top two teams in the West Coast Conference. St. Mary's leads the WCC at 15-1. Gonzaga is just behind them at 14-2. Overall, they have very similar records as well as the Gaels sport a 25-7 overall record, while the Bulldogs own a 25-6 mark. The difference is Gonzaga comes in here red-hot, winning nine in a row straight up, and covering six of those nine. Meanwhile St. Mary's has played quite well too. However, these are not the same two teams that began this season. And the Gaels are playing on back-to-back evenings for the first time this season. The Bulldogs are experienced, well-coached, and keep their composure as good as any team in the country. They have one of the most explosive offenses in college basketball, and are equally strong at both ends of the court on the boards. Their opponent tonight will be without they're starting forward, Joshua Jefferson, who averaged over 10.2 points per game and 6.5 rebounds per game during the regular season. His absence will be a huge loss for St. Mary's here today. Even if he was on the court, I would still like Gonzaga. But he's not and I like them even more. Lay the short price here with the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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03-09-24 | North Carolina +5.5 v. Duke | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
North Carolina Tar Heels. Game 693. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. With the win tonight, North Carolina locks up the conference regular season title. If Duke gets the victory, these two teams share the conference regular season crown. And I don't think that's going to sit well with either one of them. I just don't see the Blue Devils being this much of a favorite in this matchup. Granted they're playing at home. But the Tar Heels are no slouch on the road. They also come into this matchup red-hot, winning five in a row. They took the earlier meeting at home, 93-84 about five weeks ago. I don't see why this contest would have any different of an outcome. On both sides of the court, North Carolina is just as explosive. Take the points with the Tar Heels. Thank you. |
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03-06-24 | LSU +4 v. Arkansas | 83-94 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
LSU. Game 687. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, the line is way off here. The oddsmakers are giving Arkansas way too much credit because they're playing at home and also because there is a revenge factor. That just doesn't make sense to me. Yes, the Tigers took down the Razorbacks at home at the beginning of February, 95-74. This team hit a little bit of a funk following that victory. But over the last five games are 4-1 straight up, and have covered four of their last six overall outings. Meanwhile, Arkansas is definitely struggling. They are just 14-15 overall, which does include a 5-11 record in conference play this season. Recently, they dropped a game outright at home at the hands of Vanderbilt, and then took a beating on the road by Kentucky. I think if they would've bounced back, they would've done it against the Wildcats. LSU has just two games remaining; this game tonight and then this Saturday at home against Missouri. To guarantee they stay in the top eight seeds in the conference, they will need to win out. But it all starts with a victory here. Defensively, and on the boards, the visitor is far superior. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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03-04-24 | Duke -6 v. NC State | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
Duke Blue Devils. Game 881. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. The Blue Devils have two games remaining in the regular season, today's contest with the Wolfpack, then Saturday a showdown with the Tar Heels, which currently possess the top spot in the ACC. This is a big win for this team. They do have a chance to take the conference championship. A few things have to happen. But they still have a chance to do so. And facing an NC State opponent they have taken four the last five meetings against, they come in here with confidence. The Wolfpack own a 9-9 record in ACC action. Meanwhile, as you know the Blue Devils, which rank 10th in nation, are 14-4 in conference play this season. This is a team that will have no problems blowing up their opponent’s lackluster defense tonight as they possess a fiery offense which accounts are over 80.3 points per game. They are far superior on both ends of the court on the boards. And they shoot lights out from beyond the arc, a place in which the NC State defense falls way short. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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03-03-24 | UAB +7.5 v. Memphis | 87-106 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
UAB. Game 847. 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST. It's true, there aren't a lot of games left in the regular season. As a matter fact, the Blazers have three overall games remaining, while the Tigers two overall games remaining. While UAB is currently locked in at the fourth seed in the AAC, just outside the bubble is Memphis, tied for the fifth seed. Both teams need victories right now. And I certainly believe the healthier visitor here is getting way too many points. The Blazers took down the Tigers about five weeks ago at home, 97-88. This team is playing some very good basketball right now. Not only are they winning, but they have covered seven of their last nine coming into today's matchup. Yes, the Tigers are starting to get a little hot as well. They have won and covered their last three. However, I do like the matchups here. The Blazers are a little tighter on the defensive side of the ball and certainly better on the defensive glass. They have a frustrating and swarming defense that forces mistakes. I believe that will be the key here and keeping this game close. A lot closer than the point spread. Take UAB. Thank you. |
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03-03-24 | Bradley v. Drake -4 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
Drake. Game 840. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. This is the last game of the season for both of these teams. Drake is locked in at the number two seed in the Missouri Valley Conference, while Bradley is set at the number three spot. Does that mean that neither team is going to play hard? I don't think so. You see the Bulldogs are a perfect, 15-0 at home this season. They are also out scoring visitors by an average of 17.1 points per game. They would love nothing more than to give their fans a perfect home record this season. They took down Bradley as a visitor about three weeks ago, 74-67. They are better on the boards and clearly possess the more explosive scoring offense. Take Drake. Thank you. |
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03-02-24 | New Mexico v. Boise State -3 | 79-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Boise State. Game 760. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The Broncos have already achieved their goal of a 20-wins season. They currently sit in second place in the conference, just one-game behind Utah State. With just a few games remaining in the regular season, they can take over the top seed in the Mountain West Conference. New Mexico poses a very little threat here. Let's face it, this is a team that's gone 3-4, both straight up and against the spread their last seven games. They're just 5-4 on the road, and despite having a good overall record of 21-7, they are just 9-6 in conference play. The Broncos have dominated the Lobos, taking six of the last seven meetings, both straight up and against the spread. This does include and the only matchup this season, back at the end of January on the road, 86-78. I don't see any reason why this outcome will be any different. Boise State is red-hot, winning and covering their last four outings coming into this matchup. They certainly know the top seed is within their grasp. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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03-02-24 | Wake Forest +1.5 v. Virginia Tech | 76-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Wake Forest. Game 713. 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST. With just three games remaining in the regular season schedule, Wake Forest wants a top-four seeding for the upcoming conference tournament. After this week's matchup against Virginia Tech, they go home to face both Georgia Tech and then Clemson. They need every win they can get right now. And what better team to face to achieve that goal, than Virginia Tech. The Demon Deacons have taken down the Hokies, both straight up and against the spread, the last three meetings. This does include the only meeting this season, back at the end of December. Wake Forest has certainly been more consistent overall, and better against the spread for us. I am aware their road record isn't the greatest. However, they seem to have their opponent’s number. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
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03-02-24 | Mississippi State +9.5 v. Auburn | 63-78 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Mississippi State. Game 687. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Someone needs to explain to me why Mississippi State is nearly a double-digit underdog in this matchup. It makes no sense to me. And I've been doing this for decades, my friends. The Bulldogs are 19-9 overall, which does include an 8-7 record in SEC play. This is a team that still has an opportunity to make the top-four for the upcoming conference tournament. It is an outside shot. But it is still definitely do-able mathematically. I just don't see why the home team here is this much of a favorite. I know Auburn is 13-1 at the Neville Arena this season. But they have been very erratic, to say the least. Not only that, but Mississippi State took them down in the late-January matchup at home, 64-58. I don't see a revenge factor here. I just think this is way too many points. The Bulldogs match up pretty well with the Tigers. Granted, Auburn has one of the best offenses in college basketball. However, Mississippi State’s defense is very frustrating. Plus, they can contend with them on both ends of the court on the boards. Take the underdog. Thank you. |
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03-02-24 | Iowa State -3.5 v. UCF | 60-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Iowa State. Game 675. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Iowa State has three games remaining in the regular season. They currently sit in second place in the Big 12, at 11-4. A victory here would ensure them a top-four seed for the upcoming conference tournament. The Cyclones are rolling. They've won eight of their last 10 straight up, going 8-2 against the spread as well. There's just no way the lackluster offense of Central Florida is going to keep pace on the scoreboard here. Especially, because they are going up against a top-10 scoring defense of the Cyclones. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Seton Hall +8.5 v. Creighton | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
Seton Hall Pirates. Game 751. 6:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. This is a very exciting matchup, in my opinion. The Big East’s third and fourth seeds square off here. The Blue Jays have had their way with the Pirates in this series. They've taken three in a row, both straight up and against the spread, which does include the only matchup this season in January. However, in that matchup, Creighton needed three overtimes to eke out a three-point victory. However, one of Seton Hall's best, Kadary Richmond had his worst night in memory, shooting just 8-for-32. Here is something to think about in this matchup; first of all, revenge. Next, ensuring a top four seed for the upcoming conference tournament. And lastly, the fact that they've won and covered three in a row, they come in here with some momentum. This is way too many points to give a very game and capable Pirate’s team. Take Seton Hall. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Alabama -5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 103-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 753. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Sometimes records can be very misleading. For instance, Mississippi's overall, 19-8 mark. At first glance, it is very impressive. I mean they're just one victory away from achieving the goal of a 20-win regular season. However, this team was 13-0 in non-conference play. I've got to tell you, some of the teams they went up against, you would be hard-pressed to recognize. Lol. They've had some real pushovers. Their conference record is what intrigues me. They are just 6-8 against SEC opponents this season. Let's face, they've lost by 26 at the hands of Tennessee, 23 at Auburn, by 14 at home vs. Auburn, at South Carolina, at Kentucky, and here by 13 points versus South Carolina on Saturday. Oh, by the way, the Gamecocks were without their leading scorer. This team folds like a cheap suit when going up against solid conference opponents. And let's face it, Alabama is a solid opponent. This is a team that also owns a 19-8 overall record, which does include an amazing, 11-3 mark in SEC play. They have dominated ‘Ole Miss, winning and covering six consecutive meetings in this rivalry. Two of their three remaining regular season matchups after this game, happens to be against upper tier conference opponents in Tennessee and Florida. This is a big victory for the team. I don't see the Rebels slowing down, let alone stopping the Crimson Tides No. 1 scoring offense, which counts over 91.1 points per game. They're in trouble in the paint, from downtown, and on both end of courts on the boards here. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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02-28-24 | Richmond -5 v. St. Louis | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Richmond Spiders Game 727. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The Spiders sit atop the Atlantic 10 conference at 12-2. Right behind them are the Flyers and the Ramblers both at 12-3. They have a big matchup in their next contest with the Rams. If they want secure their top seed through the conference tournaments, they have to keep their foot on the gas. What better team to Face than the Billikens. They dwell in 14th place in the conference at 3-11. They failed to cover three in a row and eight of their last 10 with a defense that is absolutely atrocious, allowing nearly 79 points per game. Offensively, they're only bright spot is there outside shooting. This does not bode well as Richmond happens to have one of the toughest three-point shooting defenses in college basketball. Take the Spiders. Thank you. |
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02-27-24 | Texas v. Texas Tech -3.5 | 81-69 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Texas Tech Red Raiders. Game 650. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. Knowing the Longhorns are headed for the SEC after this season, the Red Raiders would love nothing more than to send them off and out of the conference with a victory in front of their loyal fans. Texas Tech took down Texas in their earlier matchup, back at the beginning of January on the road, 78-67. That victory gave them their seventh in the last 10 meetings in this heated rivalry. Oh, and by the way, they have eight ATS cover during the 10 games span, which doesn't include five straight. Texas leaves a lot to be desired when they travel, sporting just a 3-5 straight up record on the road. Meanwhile, Texas Tech is money at the United Supermarkets Arena this season once again going 14-1 at home. Their big, 7-foot forward, Warren Washington returned to play in their last outing. It is expected that he will be on the floor for significant time here. Since their only home defeat this season, back at the beginning of the month at the hands of the Bearcats, the Red Raiders have since won all three games played in Lubbock, over such notables as the Knights, the Jayhawks, and the Horned Frogs. They are too tough at home, and would love to give their supporters a big victory over a hated rival in their final conference matchup with them. Lay the short price with the home team. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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02-27-24 | Pittsburgh +7.5 v. Clemson | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
Pitt Panthers. Game 631. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Granted, the Panthers fell to the Tigers back in the beginning of December, 79-70 at home. But that was very early on in the campaign, and their new additions were still trying to mesh and find their rhythm. But since that defeat, Pitt has rattled off a 13-6 overall record, which includes conference road victories at Duke, Georgia Tech, NC State, and Virginia. Predictions currently figure Clemson projected to make the field of 68 teams come Tournament time. However, although they own almost an identical record, Pitt is reported to be just outside of the Tournament field. They enter this matchup red-hot, winning and covering eight of their last 10 outings. They were out rebounded in the first meeting with Clemson, but have since significantly improved at both ends of the court on the boards. They are also one of the most frustrating defenses in the nation at defending the arc. Too many points to give them. Take the Panthers. Thank you. |