Written by @ronacesports
Starting with the NFC East here is my first look at each NFC team’s 2023 schedule
DALLAS: All NFC East teams play the NFC West and the AFC East. Also, most NFC teams will play just eight home games in 2023. The three uncommon opponents Dallas will face are the LA Chargers (road, MNF), at Carolina and home to Detroit. Game #1 in interesting. Dallas has had their way of late vs. the NYG, and went 2-0 against their new staff last year. This one’s at the NYG, on Sunday Night. Dallas would be wise to build up early win equity as games 2-4 are vs. the Jets, at Arizona and vs. NE. SF ended the Cowboy’s season in each of the last two playoffs. They play at SF, also on Sunday Night. Do they stay on the west coast with their next game (at the LA Chargers) coming on MNF, a full eight days later? It’s advantage, Cowboys after the bye week, with five of the next seven games at home, including three in a row (Washington on Turkey Day, Seattle the following Thursday, and Philly ten days later, on Sunday Night). In fact, I really like the pacing of the overall schedule. The downside to their schedule is a brutal final five games. After Philly, Dallas goes to Buffalo and Miami, comes home to face Detroit, and closes at Washington. On paper, Dallas looks like a good team, but not an elite team. Starting quickly out of the gate would help. The season win total is at 9.5, slanted to the over. My opening Power # is set at 29.
NEW YORK GIANTS: The NYG parlayed a dramatic coaching change and a top five draft class into an unexpected playoff berth in 2022. That alone may not be enough for a playoff repeat in 2023, as there are challenges galore to the new schedule. The good news is that they went 5-0 vs. the AFC last year. But instead of facing the AFC South, they’ll face the AFC East, and do so with a -9 day rest differential. After hosting Dallas on MNF, four of their next five games are on the road. They’ll likely stay out west after facing Arizona, as the next game is on Thursday Night, at SF. Hosting Seattle (MNF) off extra rest is great, but then they head to Miami off a short week, and remain on the road to face Buffalo on Sunday Night. Being the “host” team vs. the NYJ robs them of a true home game. I think the NFL shouldn’t punish the NFC that way in a year where they have only eight home games (another Aaron Rodgers perk?). 2009 was the last time the NYG had three consecutive road games. Amazingly, even after all the early road games, they spend early November at Vegas (TE Waller’s return), at Dallas and at Washington. If that isn’t enough, they host NE next, and the Pats will have been off a full week of rest. The NYG bye week is not until 12/3, so mental and physical fatigue are likely to come into play. It’s nice that they have a 2nd MNF home game (GB), but again, that sets up a short week, and again, it’s with travel, this time to New Orleans. Want more bad news? After hosting Philly on Christmas, they have another short week to face the LA Rams, who will have had ten days off. If they somehow navigate all of this and stay in the playoff race, the finale is hosting Philly, and they do have a couple of situational plusses in play. Bottom line: This is not going to be easy. The NYG went 1-4-1 in Divisional play in 2022. That has to change now. The NYG season win total opened at 8.5, and we’ve seen action on the under, with a shop or two now listing them at 7.5 (-130). My opening Power # is set at 25.5.
PHILLY: I continually discuss how new coaches benefit from having early bye weeks. Philly’s the poster child for that, and ever since that 2021 ‘awakening”, the Eagles have soared (pun intended) to new heights. The 2023 schedule isn’t easy after the bye week, and they will have a -6 rest differential. They have a mixture of uncommon opponents in Minny, at Tampa, and of course the Super Bowl rematch at KC, but it’s not as bad as some 1st place teams typically have. Tom Brady will be honored game one, when Philly heads to NE. Philly is the better team, but situationally, there are reasons why that will be a tough game. On 10/1 they host Washington. The last time they faced each other, Philly’s run defense was exposed, big time. That should keep this team grounded for the rematch. I noted the rest differential, but games 1-9 are perfectly situated, with no rough patches. They’ll be favored in all nine, barring injury. Games 10-14 will tell us if the Eagles can obtain another #1 NFC playoff seed. It starts with revenge at KC, and the game will be on MNF, in front of a rabid fan base. They return home to face Buffalo on short rest. Next up is SF, and the 49ers will have ten days to prepare. Dallas will also have ten days to prepare, and they are the host team on 12/10. Finally, Philly stays on the road to face Seattle. These are arguably the five toughest games for the whole season and they are stacked together. The season closes with two of three vs. the NYG, with a host of Arizona in-between. Philly’s seasonal win total opened at 10.5, heavily slated to the over. We’re now seeing 11.5, at -110, so it’s obvious the early buzz is positive, as expected after their recent draft success. My opening Power # set is 31, which some may feel is a tad low.
WASHINGTON: Washington is ecstatic that they have new ownership, but now it’s time to elevate the on-field product. As I write this, they will do so with major uncertainty at QB. But contrary to the rest of the Division, Washington has a few scheduling perks. They have a +12 rest day differential, and will not play any teams off full rest weeks. They have a pair of Thursday Night games, home to Chicago, and on Thanksgiving, at Dallas. There are no other night games (15 other games all on Sunday). The team is likely on par with their three uncommon opponents (Denver, Chicago, Atlanta), all of which they will face in the 1st six weeks of the season. There is one bad stretch, as beginning in October, five of their next seven games are on the road. Washington was 4-3-1 in road games in 2022, but the adjusted home field advantage the past few seasons has shrunk to not much more than one point per game. Still, cluster road trips are challenging. Eric Bieniemy is the new offensive coordinator. Game one he faces off against Jonathan Gannon, the new Arizona Head Coach. When last seen, Bieniemy was helping to scheme KC’s offense vs. Gannon’s Philly defense. Of course, Bieniemy will also face the Eagles twice this year. The Philly series will be over on 10/29, with Washington traveling to NE and Seattle after that before playing two more Divisional rivals. Recently, all NFC East teams have had most of their Divisional games very late in the season. That’s not the case in 2023. Washington will be a well-rested team in December. They have ten days before hosting Miami on 12/3, and then will have 14 days before heading out west to face the LA Rams. No short weeks remain. They close with their only two-game home stand, vs. 2022 playoff teams SF and Dallas. Fatigue will not be a factor in Washington’s football fortunes. Washington’s season win total opened at 7.5, heavily slanted to the under, but there’s also some 6.5 and 7 available. My opening Power # set is 24.
Continuing with the NFC North here is my first look at each team’s 2023 schedule
CHICAGO: All NFC North teams play the NFC South and the AFC West. While Chicago is excited about Justin Fields and his development, additional optimism might come from the 2023 schedule. Their air miles are 3rd lowest, and their rest day differential is +13, best in the league. Warren Sharp has them with the 5th easiest schedule, and they play no teams off a full week of rest. Their uncommon opponents are Washington, Cleveland and Arizona. The 1st step toward true progress is erasing their 0-6 record in Divisional play. They open vs. GB, which is a great opportunity to beat their fiercest rival, especially without “owner” Aaron Rodgers as part of the problem. Maybe a 2-0 start is possible as they travel next to a rebuilding Tampa team. Game #5 is the 1st of two Thursday Night games, all part of the NFL’s new strategy. This one is on the road (at Washington), so factor in a travel day. That gives them extra time to prepare for last year’s Divisional winner, Minny. This will be a nice early barometer to determine if the gap inside the Division has closed. Beginning 10/29 (Sunday Night at the LA Chargers), the Bears will have four road games in a five week stretch. These four games are at New Orleans, home on a Thursday to Carolina, at Detroit with the extra rest, and at Minny on MNF. They face Carolina with two ex-Panthers, WR Moore and RB Foreman. They face Detroit, who now employs former Chicago RB Montgomery. After the bye week they host Detroit, which means they will have faced the Lions twice in a three-game span. The final four games are at Cleveland, home to Arizona and Atlanta, and at GB. Maybe the roster isn’t playoff worthy just yet, but it’s improved. This schedule gives them a legit playoff shot. Chicago’s season win total has not matched the late schedule optimism. Chicago’s win total is 7.5. My opening Power # set is 23.5.
DETROIT: Can the Lions handle sudden success? They finished 8-2 in 2022 and have been rewarded with four primetime games, up from ZERO in 2022. They have a rare (maybe 1st ever) three Thursday games, including the opener at KC. They have a legit shot to be 2-1 before heading to GB in another Thursday affair, this one vs. a team whose playoff hopes were dashed by Detroit. The Lions have three sets of back-to-back road games. The 1st set is at Tampa and Baltimore. The next set is in December, at New Orleans (Lions rested) and Chicago. The final set is also in December, at Minny, and on Saturday Night, at Dallas. The Lions are 4-12-1 under Dan Campbell in road games, but obviously, the team is improving. 0-1 in 2022, they still need to figure out how to win (or cover) as a road favorite. These road trips won’t be easy but remember, the Lions have four instances where they will have more rest than their opponents. December is the make-or-break month with all the road games. Detroit closes with a home game vs. Minny, meaning they play the Vikings in two of the final three weeks. I generally like the pacing of the schedule, as the Lions have double-digit rest after three of their four prime time games, and again after their traditional Thanksgiving game. Teams often disappoint when facing such a schedule bump but the NFL has made things easier in this instance. The Lions win total is a hefty 9.5. My opening Power set is 27.5, new ground for them.
GREEN BAY: Jordan Love has sat and learned for three seasons and now he’s the man in charge. For me, how GB’s season unfolds is one of the best stories for 2023. Games 1-6 are all vs. 2022 teams who like GB, missed the playoffs. The road games are at Chicago, Atlanta, Vegas on MNF, and Denver, which comes after the GB bye week. They start the season with back-to-back road games, so that could be interesting. The home games are vs, New Orleans (Saints off MNF) and Detroit, on a Thursday Night. The pacing is excellent, but what are realistic expectations, even with this “softer” schedule? I like the fact that the trip to Denver (altitude) comes after their bye week. Minny will have a short week when they come to GB after that, and the Packers stay home to face the Rams the following Sunday. Yes, what was once thought to be a transition year for GB might very well be a march to the playoffs if Love is ready. Pitt will have ten days off before hosting GB, but the Packers will not be fatigued at all. Even without Rodgers, GB has five primetime games, plus their Thanksgiving game at Detroit. That’s another challenge for QB Love. GB hosts KC on Sunday Night 12/3, and then plays at the NYG on MNF on 12/11. It’s nice to have a home game (Tampa) after that. The season ends with trips to Carolina and Minny (Sunday Night) and a host of Chicago. This is one of the most beneficial NFL schedules, and on top of that, GB’s farthest trip west is just to Denver! Wow. GB opened with a seasonal win total of 7.5, with the under about -150. That has changed, as while the win total remains at 7.5, the over is now the slight favorite. My opening Power # is set at 24.
MINNESOTA: Minnesota was 11-0 in one-score games in 2022, but as you’ll see below, their win total has been adjusted down more than most would have thought. Part of the reason is not just their -4 overall point ratio, but the fact that their three uncommon opponents are at Philly (Thursday Night), SF (MNF) and at Cincy in December. QB Cousins remains one of the best NFC QB’s in a conference full of newcomers, and he’ll need to be at his best vs. this slate. Going 3-1 out of the gate is possible, as this veteran team opens with Tampa, and games 3-4 are vs. the LA Chargers (Minny off mini-bye) and at Carolina, where ex-Viking Adam Thielen now resides. Games 5-9 are troublesome in my eyes, even though the Vikings are fully capable in competing in all five games. They host KC, go to Chicago, host SF on MNF, visit GB on a short week of preparation and stay on the road to face Atlanta. Minny dominated the NFC North a year ago but could this season be one where the Divisional race comes down to the wire? Like GB, Minny has five primetime games. Two of them are in late November, at Denver on Sunday Night and home to Chicago on MNF. The late bye after that allows them to recalibrate before road games at Las Vegas and dangerous Cincy. If I’m right about the close NFC North race then Minny will have the best opportunity to control their own destiny. Games 15-17 are vs. Detroit, vs. GB on Sunday Night, and at Detroit. Minny and Detroit split games a year ago. The uncommon games are rough, but the overall schedule isn’t a deal-breaker. The December two-game homestand is their only one, but it keeps them out of cold weather. Minny’s season win total is 8.5, slightly slanted to the over. Oddsmakers are aware of Pythagorean principles now, whereas in the past this line set would have easily opened at 9.5. We’ll see what the market does with this line set, and if it reaches 9 at some point. My opening Power # is set at 26.
Continuing with the NFC South here is my first look at each team’s 2023 schedule
ATLANTA: Atlanta and the rest of the Division plays games vs. the NFC North and the softer AFC South. This, according to Warren Sharp is the reason why the three perceived easiest NFL schedules appear in this Division. Atlanta’s is 2nd easiest and also features no prime-time games, the price they pay for not having a “TV” ready QB. That’s a perk for the team however, in terms of continuity. What is NOT a perk is having a -12 rest day differential. The AFC South has three teams with young QB’s. Atlanta has four games vs. Carolina and Tampa, plus games vs. GB, Washington, Arizona (will Murray be back, and if so, will he be rusty), and Indy. It’s hardly a murderous row at that position. Atlanta is the designated ‘road” teams when they play Jacksonville in London. With games hosting Houston and Washington up next, let’s hope there’s no jet lag, as there’s an opportunity to start 2023 quickly. After going to Tampa, Arthur Smith’s team travels to Tennessee, his old stomping ground. Games vs. New Orleans trend heavily toward the underdog. Atlanta added two of their former defensive starters. The parade of young QB’s they will face continues throughout December, at least after they travel to face much older (and wiser?) Aaron Rodgers. Does that mean their grade-school pass rush will actually improve? It’s something I’ll be charting all season long. Atlanta closes at New Orleans, and in this Division, that could be a crucial game. Overall, the schedule is manageable, with three negative rest differentials (only the Saints have a full week advantage), no schedule advantages, and 14 dates with equal rest. Let’s see how they do vs. the young QB’s. Atlanta’s season win number opened at 7.5, and in a reverse of last year’s action, has trended up, to both 8 and 8.5. My opening Power # is set at 23.
CAROLINA: I went 3-0 in seasonal overs last year, the most overs I’ve had in over a decade (8-3-1 unders). I lost with Carolina in 2021 but got a late win with them last year. They went all in to get their (presumed) QB of the future in Bryce Young, and his journey likely starts right away. The NFL’s 3rd easiest schedule begins with Divisional matchups at Atlanta and on MNF, vs. New Orleans. As a young team, it’s likely not great that they have a short week of preparation so early in the season, going to Seattle. Somehow, the goal is 2-2, perhaps depending on defeating Adam Thielen’s old team Minnesota (Carolina home game). Road games at Detroit and Miami follow, which create additional challenges. I like the early bye week after that. Yes, Frank Reich is not a raw new coach, but he needs this early bye to make roster and scheme adjustments with his new team. Remember, there are only three exhibition games, and even then, teams are playing fewer starters than ever. The early part of the regular season is where new staffs make evaluations nowadays. It should be noted that Seattle, Miami and Dallas (11/19) represent Carolina’s uncommon opponents. For a rebuilding team (mostly offensively), this is pretty difficult. 11/5 will be interesting, as Frank Reich’s team hosts Indy, who fired him during the 2022 season. That’s a perk, but it means the Panthers must quickly refocus when they play just four days later, at Chicago, where ex-Panther WR D.J. Moore now plays, and possibly has his own motivation going. A three-game road trip begins 11/26. The opponents are Tennessee, Tampa and New Orleans. It’s Divisional month, as their host of Atlanta is their 3rd NFC South game in a row. Carolina closes vs. GB, at Jacksonville and vs. Tampa. While no part of the schedule is overly difficult, there’s enough challenges that give me caution. I’m not so sure this will be my 3rd easiest schedule. Carolina’s season win total has held steady at 7.5. My opening Power # is set at 22.
NEW ORLEANS: New Orleans should have won the Division a year ago, but ejections, turnovers, and the coaching downturn (Dennis Allen replacing Sean Payton) was too much to overcome. I see good and bad with their schedule. The good includes what some say is the easiest NFL schedule (mine not calculated yet), with a relatively soft slate of opposing QB’s faced. They also play 13 of their 17 games under a dome, with all but the 12/31 game at warm weather Tampa being played by October 8th. No need to pack the wool jackets this year. Interestingly enough, the Saints have recently played at all of the outdoor stadium venues. They also benefit from having a three-game homestand in December (Lions, Panthers, NYG). The bad is playing four of five games on the road between 9/18 and 10/15, plus having two of their prime-time games being followed by a short week road game. Two of those prime-time games are already on the road. Their uncommon opponents are NE, the NYG, and the Rams. Thanks to a meltdown and also an ejection (CB Lattimore) Tampa went 2-0 vs. the Saints, the 1st time that has happened since 2007. That needs to be fixed. Their short week games are at GB, right after they are at Carolina on MNF, vs. Jacksonville after traveling to Houston, and at the Rams (2nd Thursday Night game) after hosting the NYG. In other notes, the Saints are 7-0 lately vs. Chicago (home game) and RB Jamaal Williams faces his former team (Lions) in a 12/3 home game. They close with two Divisional games, at Tampa (Saints with ten days to prep) and home to Atlanta. Maybe 2-0 in these games will make a difference. The Saints went just 2-4 vs. the AFC South a year ago, and also finished just 4-5 at home. That needs to change. Their season win total is 9.5, slightly slanted to the under. My opening power # set is at 25.5.
TAMPA BAY: Tampa underachieved in 2022 (thanks) and now faces life without Tom Brady, who counting the playoff loss, threw the football 799 times, which is downright crazy. This is hardly a dynamite Division, but by virtue of finishing in 1st place in 2022, Tampa’s uncommon opponents are Philly, Buffalo and SF. That looks like 0-3. Their raw, new QB has four games before an early bye week. They start the season at Minny, host Chicago, host Philly on MNF and with a short week, head to New Orleans. Once a great home dog on Monday Night, the game at Philly looks fairly rough. In games 1-8 I could see Tampa being favored just twice, hosting Chicago and hosting Atlanta, although if there are issues with Tennessee, maybe they are a home favorite in that one too. Four of their next five games are on the road. Can they go 2-1 at Indy, at Atlanta and at GB? That’s a tall ask. The home game in that span is winnable, vs. Carolina. Tampa closes with home games vs. the Jags and Saints, plus a road game at Carolina. Not counting their uncommon opponents, the toughest games ae the opener at Minny, and home games vs. Detroit and the Jags. Winning inside the Division is essential to overcome playing Philly, SF and Buffalo. Let’s see how the offense, especially the OL, fares without Brady. Tampa’s win total is 6.5. My opening power # set is at 21.5.
Continuing with the NFC West here is my first look at each team’s 2023 schedule
ARIZONA: All NFC West teams play the NFC East and the AFC North. For new coach Jonathan Gannon, games 1-3 finds him back where he was in 2022, facing Washington, the NYG and Dallas. That gives him team familiarity, but his OL better be ready, as these teams may get to face Colt McCoy at 1st, and then likely his replacement once the fragile (but smart) signal-caller is hurt. Games 1-8 appear brutal, as it includes trips to SF and Seattle, and home games vs. Cincy and Baltimore. At least they won’t face any teams off a full week of rest, and they also play no primetime games. All games are on Sunday, an enormous perk for a new (and young) coaching staff who should crave rhythm and routine over jumbled schedules. Unfortunately, there will be NO mini-bye week for partial scheme and personnel adjustments, and the full bye is way too late, coming 12/10. The “easiest” part of the schedule is in November. It reads at Cleveland, home to Atlanta, at Houston, and home to the Rams. Their final four games after the late bye are vs. SF, at potentially cold Chicago, at potentially cold Philly, and vs. Seattle. Their only back-to-back home games are weeks two and three, vs. the NYG and Dallas. Keep in mind that WR Hopkins was almost traded around draft season, and could easily be traded prior to the in-season deadline. Also, DB Budda Baker wants out. There’s a gap between QB Kyler Murray and his replacements, but when he returns will he run the ball, and more importantly, how rusty will he be? Arizona’s season win total opened 5.5, which was nice, but is now at 4.5. My opening Power # set is at 18.5, last in the NFL due to QB uncertainty, roster holes, and a young coaching staff.
LOS ANGELES RAMS: As expected (thanks again), LA came back earth in 2022. After drafting 14 new players, it’s finally core roster rebuilding time. They can still compete, with a veteran QB, elite WR, and all-world DL Aaron Donald, but the core of the roster is below par, and the OL is substandard. Their three uncommon opponents are Indy, GB and New Orleans, which by itself is not overwhelming. Unfortunately, there are other issues. They play four teams off full bye weeks. For comparison sakes, SF and LA are the only teams with more than two such instances. This leads to a -17 rest day differential, an unusually high number in any season. Add to that three east coast trips (just one in 2022) and 2023 could be challenging. Goal #1 is to fix their 1-5 Divisional record. They play at Seattle to start the year, immediately followed by hosting SF, so avoiding an 0-2 start is critical. Is this the year Head Coach McVay actually let’s his players dress for the preseason to get them ready? Going to Cincy for a MNF Super Bowl revenge game may not be fun, and that means a short week for their next game. It’s vs. Indy, the start of a potentially decent three-game homestand that also features Arizona and Pitt. Unfortunately for the Rams, the Steelers will be fully rested, as will Dallas when they host LA the following week. LA is 0-3 the past three seasons at GB, but this 2nd straight road game is on 11/5, whereas the previous three were in December or January. Critical Divisional games four and five follow the bye. LA may need to sweep Chicago and their road game at Arizona to remain in playoff contention. LA has only one other scheduled primetime game, a host of New Orleans on Thursday Night. That follows games at fully rested Baltimore and home to fully rested Washington. I don’t see any “easy” stretch of games, and LA finishes the season on the road, at the NYG and at SF. How healthy is QB Stafford? His experience this season is so desperately important. LA’s season win total opened 7.5, with the under at +115. That was nice. The number quickly adjusted and is now mostly 6.5. My opening Power # set is 24.
SAN FRANCISCO: A few years back, the Saints had an unlucky period when despite being arguably the best team in the NFL, never made it to the Super Bowl. SF now has that “title”, nearly beating LA in 2021 with Jimmie G at 50% capacity, and losing to Philly last year with no viable QB left by the 2nd half. Maybe the 3rd time is the charm, but if so, SF will need to overcome some significant scheduling challenges. Like the Rams, they face four teams with full bye weeks. They also have two Thursday Night short week games. It all adds up to a -20 rest day differential. They get one break, that being a 1st place uncommon opponent schedule that features Minnesota (13-4, but a -4 point ratio), Jacksonville (ascending, but not elite), and Tampa, likely in rebuilding mode. They also get a three-game homestand, coming right after opening games at Pitt and the Rams. These games are the NYG (Thursday Night), Arizona (with ten days to prepare) and Dallas, on Sunday Night. Both Cleveland (a road game) and Cincy (a home game) will be fully rested. In-between is a MNF game at Minny, so SF has even less time to prepare for the Bengals. SF’s bye week offers no advantage, as the Jags have that same week off. Games 11-13 are tricky. They play at Seattle on Thursday Night, get extra time before heading to Philly for the NFC title game rematch, and then face a Seattle team who will have ten days of prep time. If that isn’t enough, they head to Arizona in a potential letdown game, and the Cardinals will be fully rested. Next up is hosting Baltimore on MNF (Christmas). SF has a great MNF record, but Baltimore is a formidable opponent. Once again, that means a short week, and they have to go cross-country to face Washington. Closing hosting the LA Rams is nice, but can SF get there in one piece? SF’s season win total opened at 11.5, slanted to the under. It’s still there, but some 10.5’s are popping up. My opening Power # is set at 29, pending another season of QB uncertainty.
SEATTLE: I went out on a limb with Seattle OVERS in 2022. It was a lonely limb, but well worth it, even if I didn’t project them making the playoffs. With a 2nd strong draft class, Seattle may be primed for more in 2023. The have just one set of back-to-back home games, in October vs. Arizona and Cleveland. Their MNF road game (NYG) is followed by a full week off. That’s nice, and so the trip after that to Cincy is manageable. In addition, the only other set of back-to-back road games are at Dallas on Thursday Night, followed by at SF a full ten days later. Seattle beat Detroit 48-45, at Detroit in 2022. The rematch between these two ascending teams is week #2, also at Detroit. Their 1st five home games (Rams, Carolina, Arizona, Cleveland, Washington) are all winnable. Any stumbles would hurt Divisional chances at the very least. As for other nuggets, Seattle is 5-0 lately playing at the NYG home stadium (not all games vs. the NYG), and is 7-0 lately vs. now powerful Philly. It’s Philly’s 2nd straight road game, and it comes after playing bitter rival Dallas. One other note. Seattle plays three games in just a twelve-day span (at the Rams, vs. SF, at Dallas). History has not been kind to teams in this situation. I like the start of the schedule, especially as compared to rival SF, but beginning 11/19, Seattle will have some obstacles to overcome, and not just because they will have four games vs. a trio of good teams in consecutive fashion (SF, Dallas, SF, Philly). Seattle’s season win total is 8.5. My opening Power # is set at 26, which may be a tad conservative.